People have always tried to make predictions; they are necessary and useful, but very often they commit obvious errors, which have negative consequences on decision-making. Prediction errors are in some cases, not few, unavoidable, because the world itself is unpredictable, subject to chance (or randomness in mathematics). Chance is a property of nature. The causes of random events are physically determined, but so numerous and complex that they (the events) are unpredictable. Science is not about certainty. Human knowledge itself is not certain. We can only have provisional truths. Therefore, we must manage to reach a state of accommodation with uncertainty and unpredictability. The complexity of natural phenomena generates events that we cannot control through theoretical modeling precisely because of the ignorance of the causal mechanisms, which exist in their privacy but have not (yet) been revealed by the data and observations at our disposal. We have, on the one hand, life experience taken over and assimilated and established in society and, on the other hand, experience gained from real life. Norm and chance follow each other rather chaotically. The duration of validity of a norm and the moment of occurrence of the random event are unpredictable. However, norms and events coexist in our consciousness. Order and predictability are born (formed and exist) from rules; chance and unpredictability are born from the lack of rules. The highest truths, recognized as such by society cannot be transposed into the life of society only by the force of reason. It is imperative that they are reinforced and embedded in the social behavior of all citizens. Rules are needed. Without rules there is no freedom.
| Published in | International Journal of Philosophy (Volume 10, Issue 4) |
| DOI | 10.11648/j.ijp.20221004.14 |
| Page(s) | 147-152 |
| Creative Commons |
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited. |
| Copyright |
Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group |
Norm, Chance, Random Events, Natural Accidents, Unpredictability, Complex Systems, Risk society
| [1] | Quote from Mihai Ganea, (2008) “Epistemic Optimism”, Philosophia Mathematica (III), 16, pag. 334. |
| [2] | Quote from Marcus Chown, (2007), “God's Number: Where Can We Find the Secret of the Universe? In a Single Number!”, in vol. “Randomness and Complexity, From Leibniz to Chaitin”, published by World Scientific Publishing Company, pp. 321-342. |
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| [5] | Roger Scruton, (1997), "Modern Philosophy", ed. Arrow Books, pp. 265-267. |
| [6] | Ludwig Wittgenstein, (1986), "Philosophical Investigations", paragraphs 19, 23 241, ed. Basil Blackwell. |
| [7] | Petre Roman, (2022), "Norm and Chance", in Romanian, Cartea Românească Educational, Iasi. |
| [8] | Jeffrey C. Isaac, (2008), "Oases in the Desert: Hannah Arendt on Democratic Politics", in "Hannah Arendt", ed. Routledge, part 1, ch. 5. |
| [9] | William Shakespeare, “Hamlet”, act 1, scene 5, 188. |
| [10] | Hannah Arendt, (2008) "The Human Condition", ed. University of Chicago Press, 1998 and B. Honig, "Arendt, Identity, and Difference", in "Hannah Arendt", ed. Routledge, part 3, ch. 2. |
| [11] | Pierre Grimal, (1986) "Cicéron", ed. Fayard, pag. 340. |
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| [17] | Moni Stănilă, (2019), “Brâncuși, or how the turtle learned to fly”, Editura POLIROM, pag. 176. See also Sanda Miller, (2006) „ Critical Lives: Brancusi”, Reaktion Books, pag. 130. |
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APA Style
Petre Roman. (2022). We Live Under the Permanent Conviviality of Norms and Chance--Understanding It Is Key to Building More Resilient Complex Systems. International Journal of Philosophy, 10(4), 147-152. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijp.20221004.14
ACS Style
Petre Roman. We Live Under the Permanent Conviviality of Norms and Chance--Understanding It Is Key to Building More Resilient Complex Systems. Int. J. Philos. 2022, 10(4), 147-152. doi: 10.11648/j.ijp.20221004.14
AMA Style
Petre Roman. We Live Under the Permanent Conviviality of Norms and Chance--Understanding It Is Key to Building More Resilient Complex Systems. Int J Philos. 2022;10(4):147-152. doi: 10.11648/j.ijp.20221004.14
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Download@article{10.11648/j.ijp.20221004.14,
author = {Petre Roman},
title = {We Live Under the Permanent Conviviality of Norms and Chance--Understanding It Is Key to Building More Resilient Complex Systems},
journal = {International Journal of Philosophy},
volume = {10},
number = {4},
pages = {147-152},
doi = {10.11648/j.ijp.20221004.14},
url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijp.20221004.14},
eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijp.20221004.14},
abstract = {People have always tried to make predictions; they are necessary and useful, but very often they commit obvious errors, which have negative consequences on decision-making. Prediction errors are in some cases, not few, unavoidable, because the world itself is unpredictable, subject to chance (or randomness in mathematics). Chance is a property of nature. The causes of random events are physically determined, but so numerous and complex that they (the events) are unpredictable. Science is not about certainty. Human knowledge itself is not certain. We can only have provisional truths. Therefore, we must manage to reach a state of accommodation with uncertainty and unpredictability. The complexity of natural phenomena generates events that we cannot control through theoretical modeling precisely because of the ignorance of the causal mechanisms, which exist in their privacy but have not (yet) been revealed by the data and observations at our disposal. We have, on the one hand, life experience taken over and assimilated and established in society and, on the other hand, experience gained from real life. Norm and chance follow each other rather chaotically. The duration of validity of a norm and the moment of occurrence of the random event are unpredictable. However, norms and events coexist in our consciousness. Order and predictability are born (formed and exist) from rules; chance and unpredictability are born from the lack of rules. The highest truths, recognized as such by society cannot be transposed into the life of society only by the force of reason. It is imperative that they are reinforced and embedded in the social behavior of all citizens. Rules are needed. Without rules there is no freedom.},
year = {2022}
}
TY - JOUR T1 - We Live Under the Permanent Conviviality of Norms and Chance--Understanding It Is Key to Building More Resilient Complex Systems AU - Petre Roman Y1 - 2022/12/15 PY - 2022 N1 - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijp.20221004.14 DO - 10.11648/j.ijp.20221004.14 T2 - International Journal of Philosophy JF - International Journal of Philosophy JO - International Journal of Philosophy SP - 147 EP - 152 PB - Science Publishing Group SN - 2330-7455 UR - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijp.20221004.14 AB - People have always tried to make predictions; they are necessary and useful, but very often they commit obvious errors, which have negative consequences on decision-making. Prediction errors are in some cases, not few, unavoidable, because the world itself is unpredictable, subject to chance (or randomness in mathematics). Chance is a property of nature. The causes of random events are physically determined, but so numerous and complex that they (the events) are unpredictable. Science is not about certainty. Human knowledge itself is not certain. We can only have provisional truths. Therefore, we must manage to reach a state of accommodation with uncertainty and unpredictability. The complexity of natural phenomena generates events that we cannot control through theoretical modeling precisely because of the ignorance of the causal mechanisms, which exist in their privacy but have not (yet) been revealed by the data and observations at our disposal. We have, on the one hand, life experience taken over and assimilated and established in society and, on the other hand, experience gained from real life. Norm and chance follow each other rather chaotically. The duration of validity of a norm and the moment of occurrence of the random event are unpredictable. However, norms and events coexist in our consciousness. Order and predictability are born (formed and exist) from rules; chance and unpredictability are born from the lack of rules. The highest truths, recognized as such by society cannot be transposed into the life of society only by the force of reason. It is imperative that they are reinforced and embedded in the social behavior of all citizens. Rules are needed. Without rules there is no freedom. VL - 10 IS - 4 ER -
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